Leicester City 4-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
23%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.83
2-3 Goals
37%
2.17
4-5 Goals
28%
2.48
6+ Goals
11%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
33.5
X/1
13%
3.46
X/2
8%
33.5
X/X
9%
11.75
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
8%
24.45
2/X
5%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
80%
-23.0pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
7%
+15.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 9%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.59/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-3% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
564 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 0.19
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
678 Passes 264
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNLK
11.03.2009 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İN1
23.08.2008 Leicester City Leicester City 3-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
4-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
3.11 xG 0.15
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
732 Passes 263
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 4
33 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City ran out comfortable winners over Tranmere Rovers 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leicester City had 70% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 30%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 3.11 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leicester City and 1.00 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Tranmere Rovers?

Leicester City 4-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - League Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 57%, draw 20%, Tranmere Rovers 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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