Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Middlesbrough v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals
Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Stoke City
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
3-1
HT 2-0
Stoke City
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
Middlesbrough 0-5 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City swept aside Middlesbrough 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Middlesbrough had 66% of the ball to Stoke City's 34%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.84 to 1.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.33 for Stoke City.
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Stoke City?
Middlesbrough 0-5 Stoke City in the England - League Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Stoke City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 43%, draw 25%, Stoke City 32%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Middlesbrough), Under 2.5 went the other way.