Harrogate Town 0-5 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
8%
10.6
X/2
20%
3.87
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.02
2/X
7%
15.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.37/3.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-58% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
199 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 76%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End swept aside Harrogate Town 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Preston North End as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Preston North End?

Harrogate Town 0-5 Preston North End in the England - League Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated an Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 23%, draw 25%, Preston North End 52%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preston North End), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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