Barnsley 1-0 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
8.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.32 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.77
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
9%
7.13
X/2
16%
4.73
X/X
12%
5.44
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
21%
2.7
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 49%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.68
+150% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sheffield United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.67 xG 1.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
241 Passes 346
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2022 Barnsley Barnsley 2-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United HAZ
19.03.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
24.10.2021 Barnsley Barnsley 2-3 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
27.07.2019 Barnsley Barnsley 1-4 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United HAZ
07.04.2018 Barnsley Barnsley 3-2 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
19.08.2017 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
1-0
AWAY Sheffield United
1.55 xG 1.08
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
202 Passes 424
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley edged past Sheffield United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sheffield United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Barnsley had 35% of the ball to Sheffield United's 65%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.55 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barnsley and 2.17 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Sheffield United?

Barnsley 1-0 Sheffield United in the England - League Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 32%, draw 25%, Sheffield United 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sheffield United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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