Millwall 0-1 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 27 Aug 2024

Millwall
0-1 HT 0-1
Leyton Orient
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - League Cup – 2024/2025

Millwall vs Leyton Orient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
13%
3.9
X/2
8%
9.73
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
15%
7.73
2/X
9%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall v Leyton Orient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 23%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.89/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.64
+34% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
349 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 63%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
25.6 Crosses 14.7
0.6 Yellow Cards 3.3

Millwall vs Leyton Orient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
The Meetings
24.04.2010 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
26.09.2009 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İN1
25.04.2009 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
22.11.2008 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İN1
15.03.2008 Millwall Millwall 0-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
04.12.2007 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İN1

Millwall 0-1 Leyton Orient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
0-1
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.16 xG 0.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
270 Passes 230
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient nicked a narrow win over Millwall 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Millwall had 54% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 46%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.16 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millwall and 0.67 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Leyton Orient?

Millwall 0-1 Leyton Orient in the England - League Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Millwall 44%, draw 28%, Leyton Orient 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Millwall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✓ BTTS No
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