Leyton Orient 3-2 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 40% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.29
X/2
7%
7.42
X/X
15%
4.09
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
11%
6.28
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.0pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.06/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.14
-7% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 63%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.8 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lincoln City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 Passes 211
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
29.03.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
21.11.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
03.10.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
22.04.2006 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
15.10.2005 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-1 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
3-2
AWAY Lincoln City
2.18 xG 1.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
310 Passes 203
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient edged past Lincoln City 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 57% of the ball to Lincoln City's 43%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.18 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.00 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Lincoln City?

Leyton Orient 3-2 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 44%, draw 32%, Lincoln City 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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