Guiseley 1-1 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.75/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.60
+8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 1-2 HT 1-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
28.11.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley and Ilkeston Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guiseley at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guiseley and 1.33 for Ilkeston Town.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Ilkeston Town?

Guiseley 1-1 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 43%, draw 25%, Ilkeston Town 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guiseley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
15 Feb 2025
18:00 United of Manchester vs Bamber Bridge Analysis →
18:00 Royston Town vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →
18:00 Banbury United vs Biggleswade Town Analysis →
18:00 Barwell vs Stratford Town Analysis →
18:00 Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch Analysis →
18:00 St Ives Town vs Stamford Analysis →