Ilkeston Town 1-1 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.2pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 43%
-19% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.40/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.31
-6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Guiseley
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 1-2 HT 1-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
28.11.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town and Guiseley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ilkeston Town and 2.50 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley?

Ilkeston Town 1-1 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 37%, draw 25%, Guiseley 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guiseley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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