15/02/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Leiston vs Spalding United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
33%
Draw
26%
31%
Away Win
30%
48%
Under 2.5
50%
52%
Over 2.5
50%
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
45%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leiston v Spalding United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Leiston
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Spalding United
EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% /
+17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
1.81/0.87
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.66/1.93
+12%
/
+50%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+21%
/
-20%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
276 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.0
Leiston vs Spalding United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Leiston
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Spalding United
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Leiston vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Leiston nicked a narrow win over Spalding United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Leiston made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Leiston vs Spalding United?
Leiston 2-1 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leiston vs Spalding United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Leiston 36%, draw 33%, Spalding United 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Leiston)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
15 Feb 2025