Spalding United 1-2 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2024

Spalding United
1-2 HT 0-1
Leiston
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Spalding United vs Leiston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spalding United v Leiston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.68/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.79
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston nicked a narrow win over Spalding United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Leiston made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Leiston?

Spalding United 1-2 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 37%, draw 25%, Leiston 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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