Hitchin Town 2-5 Lowestoft Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.53/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hitchin Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lowestoft Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.04.2022 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town İNGNLP
16.11.2021 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hitchin Town vs Lowestoft Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lowestoft Town swept aside Hitchin Town 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lowestoft Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hitchin Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hitchin Town and 2.00 for Lowestoft Town.

What was the final score of Hitchin Town vs Lowestoft Town?

Hitchin Town 2-5 Lowestoft Town in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hitchin Town vs Lowestoft Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lowestoft Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hitchin Town 36%, draw 22%, Lowestoft Town 42%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lowestoft Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lowestoft Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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