Stratford Town 1-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stratford Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.61/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.64
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stratford Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barwell
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Barwell Barwell 1-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNFAT
13.01.2024 Stratford Town Stratford Town 4-3 HT 2-2 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Barwell Barwell 1-0 HT 0-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
01.04.2023 Stratford Town Stratford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Stratford Town Stratford Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stratford Town vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stratford Town and Barwell shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stratford Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barwell led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stratford Town and 1.33 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Stratford Town vs Barwell?

Stratford Town 1-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stratford Town vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stratford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stratford Town 43%, draw 26%, Barwell 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stratford Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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