Stratford Town 4-3 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stratford Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.66/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.42
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stratford Town
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Barwell
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2023 Barwell Barwell 1-0 HT 0-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
01.04.2023 Stratford Town Stratford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Stratford Town Stratford Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
16.11.2021 Barwell Barwell 4-0 HT 1-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stratford Town
4-3
AWAY Barwell
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stratford Town vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stratford Town squeezed past Barwell 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Stratford Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stratford Town had 57% of the ball to Barwell's 43%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barwell led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Stratford Town and 1.60 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Stratford Town vs Barwell?

Stratford Town 4-3 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stratford Town vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stratford Town 36%, draw 26%, Barwell 38%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barwell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
13 Jan 2024
18:00 Stourbridge vs Kettering Town Analysis →
18:00 Harrow Borough vs Dorchester Town Analysis →
18:00 Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town Analysis →
18:00 Salisbury vs AFC Totton Analysis →
18:00 Bromsgrove Sporting vs Royston Town Analysis →
18:00 AFC Sudbury vs Alvechurch Analysis →