Barwell 1-0 Stratford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stratford Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
273 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stratford Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Stratford Town Stratford Town 4-3 HT 2-2 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Barwell Barwell 1-0 HT 0-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
01.04.2023 Stratford Town Stratford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
02.04.2022 Stratford Town Stratford Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
16.11.2021 Barwell Barwell 4-0 HT 1-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
1-0
AWAY Stratford Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Stratford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell edged past Stratford Town 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Barwell made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barwell had 46% of the ball to Stratford Town's 54%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barwell had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barwell and 1.33 for Stratford Town.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Stratford Town?

Barwell 1-0 Stratford Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Stratford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barwell 40%, draw 24%, Stratford Town 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barwell) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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