Worksop Town 0-2 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.5pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.66/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.79
+21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -24%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worksop Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Morpeth Town
7.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 7-0 HT 4-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worksop Town
0-2
AWAY Morpeth Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town got the better of Worksop Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Worksop Town at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Worksop Town had 47% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 53%, shots finished 5-8.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Morpeth Town?

Worksop Town 0-2 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 66%, draw 18%, Morpeth Town 16%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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