Intercity Alicante 3-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.04/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.19
-18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Intercity Alicante
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Merida AD
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 2-1 HT 0-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
11.05.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 3-0 HT 2-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
02.12.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
3-1
AWAY Merida AD
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante saw off Merida AD 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Intercity Alicante found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 36% of the ball to Merida AD's 64%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Merida AD led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Intercity Alicante and 2.00 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Merida AD?

Intercity Alicante 3-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Intercity Alicante win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 36%, draw 30%, Merida AD 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Intercity Alicante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Intercity Alicante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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