Merida AD 3-0 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.61
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 21%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.22/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.47
-25% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
3-0
AWAY Intercity Alicante
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD ran out comfortable winners over Intercity Alicante 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Merida AD had 44% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 56%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Intercity Alicante?

Merida AD 3-0 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 44%, draw 25%, Intercity Alicante 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ BTTS Yes
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