Recreativo Huelva 3-0 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recreativo Huelva EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.67/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.72
+3% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recreativo Huelva
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Algeciras
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.01.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 2-3 HT 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
24.01.2021 Algeciras Algeciras 3-1 HT 2-1 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
22.12.2019 Algeciras Algeciras 0-0 HT 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
28.03.2004 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 1-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS2
25.10.2003 Algeciras Algeciras 2-2 HT 0-1 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recreativo Huelva
3-0
AWAY Algeciras
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Recreativo Huelva vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Recreativo Huelva cruised past Algeciras 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Recreativo Huelva as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Recreativo Huelva had 54% of the ball to Algeciras's 46%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Recreativo Huelva had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Recreativo Huelva and 1.40 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Recreativo Huelva vs Algeciras?

Recreativo Huelva 3-0 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recreativo Huelva vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recreativo Huelva win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Recreativo Huelva 47%, draw 28%, Algeciras 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Recreativo Huelva), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Recreativo Huelva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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