Merida AD 2-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.19/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.18
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 3-0 HT 2-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
02.12.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-1 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
2-1
AWAY Intercity Alicante
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD edged past Intercity Alicante 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Merida AD had 61% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 39%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Merida AD had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Merida AD and 0.00 for Intercity Alicante.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Intercity Alicante?

Merida AD 2-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 41%, draw 27%, Intercity Alicante 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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