Cultural Leonesa 1-3 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.85
6+ Goals
11%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.54/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.49
-4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.01.2022 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-2 HT 1-1 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
12.09.2021 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
26.01.2020 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
08.09.2019 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 5-2 HT 2-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1-3
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II got the better of Cultural Leonesa 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cultural Leonesa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 47% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 53%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cultural Leonesa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 1.25 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Cultural Leonesa 1-3 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 45%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao II 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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