Winterthur 1-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
50%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
7.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
9.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
19.95
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1
9%
12.35
X/2
13%
4.07
X/X
12%
6.7
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.8
2/X
6%
15.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.95 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
49%
Away Win
63%
-13.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 67%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.18/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.25
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
13.9 Crosses 24.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Young Boys
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.31 xG 2.05
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
289 Passes 416
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
22.09.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-4 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
25.05.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
21.04.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
04.11.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-4 HT 1-2 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
05.08.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 5-2 HT 3-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-0
AWAY Young Boys
1.59 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
346 Passes 414
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 51
10 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur squeezed past Young Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Young Boys at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Winterthur had 46% of the ball to Young Boys's 54%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.59 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Winterthur and 3.00 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Young Boys?

Winterthur 1-0 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 26%, draw 24%, Young Boys 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Young Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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