Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Feb 2025

Milan
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Hellas Verona
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Milan vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
74%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
10%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.21
Over
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.28
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
28%
2.84
6+
8%
8.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.6
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.75
X/1
22%
3.83
X/2
4%
15.75
X/X
9%
7.13
2/1
3%
21.25
2/2
5%
13.25
2/X
3%
21.7
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Milan v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Milan The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona The Market 15%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.81
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.21
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3

Milan vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Hellas Verona
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.00 xG 0.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 Passes 234
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
17.03.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTA
23.09.2023 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
04.06.2023 Milan Milan 3-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
16.10.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 1-1 Milan Milan İTA
08.05.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 1-1 Milan Milan İTA

Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
1 - 0
AWAY Hellas Verona
2.15 xG 0.37
74% Ball Possession 26%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 7
467 Passes 120
88% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Milan vs Hellas Verona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Milan squeezed past Hellas Verona 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (60%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Milan had 74% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 26%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.15 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Milan's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Milan and 0.67 for Hellas Verona.

Milan vs Hellas Verona Result & Final Score

Milan 1 - 0 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Milan vs Hellas Verona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Milan 74%, draw 16%, Hellas Verona 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan) ✗ Over 2.5
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