Elversberg 2-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
15%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.15
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.55
X/2
7%
9.59
X/X
12%
5.93
2/1
7%
20.25
2/2
12%
6.82
2/X
10%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.0pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 25%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.57/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.64
-28% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.1 Crosses 14.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.04 xG 0.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
329 Passes 373
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-0 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
10.03.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-4 HT 0-1 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
01.10.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
2-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.42 xG 0.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
363 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg beat Greuther Fürth 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Elversberg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elversberg had 52% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 48%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 2.42 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elversberg had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Elversberg and 0.67 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Greuther Fürth?

Elversberg 2-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 45%, draw 26%, Greuther Fürth 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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