Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.09
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
11%
12.05
X/1
11%
5.55
X/2
13%
6.67
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
15%
4.1
2/X
7%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.1pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.59/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.59
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
22.6 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.80 xG 1.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 Passes 396
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
21.01.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-2 HT 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
29.07.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
28.02.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-3 HT 3-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
04.10.2019 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
06.04.2019 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-1
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.40 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
333 Passes 453
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf squeezed past Hertha Berlin 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Fortuna Düsseldorf made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 43% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 57%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.40 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.50 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hertha Berlin?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 37%, draw 28%, Hertha Berlin 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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