Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Feb 2025

Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Arminia Bielefeld vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.03
Over
53%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.85
2-3
46%
1.86
4-5
24%
3.24
6+
6%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.26
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.34
X/2
8%
8.94
X/X
14%
5.42
2/1
3%
21.7
2/2
10%
6.8
2/X
5%
15.2
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Arminia Bielefeld v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Arminia Bielefeld The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue The Market 26%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.21
Bad Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2

Arminia Bielefeld vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
413 Passes 304
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
04.05.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
02.12.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 HT 1-2 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
31.01.2020 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 0-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
17.08.2019 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
05.04.2019 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2

Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 1
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 10
293 Passes 243
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Arminia Bielefeld vs Erzgebirge Aue
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Arminia Bielefeld came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Erzgebirge Aue 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in Arminia Bielefeld's favour, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Arminia Bielefeld against 1.00 for Erzgebirge Aue.

Arminia Bielefeld vs Erzgebirge Aue Result & Final Score

Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 1 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Arminia Bielefeld vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 57%, draw 24%, Erzgebirge Aue 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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