Adelaide United (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 15 Feb 2025

Adelaide United (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Canberra United (K)
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒08:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Adelaide United (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.59/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.00
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.0 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Adelaide United (K) vs Canberra United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.55 xG 1.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
327 Passes 296
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.11.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
13.01.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
22.12.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
13.01.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2018 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
1-1
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.07 xG 1.49
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 4
437 Passes 167
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
25 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) and Canberra United (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide United (K) at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 67% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 33%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.07 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 1.20 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 1-1 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 53%, draw 21%, Canberra United (K) 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
15 Feb 2025
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