Al Thaid 1-3 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

Al Thaid
1-3
Al Dhafra
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UAE - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
20%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
54%
Away Win
56%
-1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Thaid v Al Dhafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 60%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.05/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.79
-13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Dhafra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
14.04.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
23.11.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra beat Al Thaid 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Dhafra as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Thaid and 2.00 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra?

Al Thaid 1-3 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 17%, draw 29%, Al Dhafra 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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