Willem II 1-3 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.06
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.79
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.09
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
18%
5.3
X/2
9%
5.56
X/X
19%
3.39
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
4.4
2/X
5%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.4pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.14/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.31
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
22.6 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Groningen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.54 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
327 Passes 385
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Groningen Groningen 2-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
26.04.2024 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL2
19.12.2023 Willem II Willem II 1-3 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOK
27.08.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-0 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
26.02.2022 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
18.09.2021 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 2-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
1-3
AWAY Groningen
1.07 xG 1.82
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
506 Passes 151
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen beat Willem II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Groningen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Willem II had 71% of the ball to Groningen's 29%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.07 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Groningen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Willem II and 1.33 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Groningen?

Willem II 1-3 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Willem II 35%, draw 32%, Groningen 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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