Groningen vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Groningen v Willem II — Team-Based Signals
Groningen vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Groningen
HOK
0-0
HT 0-0
Willem II
HOL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL
2-1
HT 2-0
Groningen
HOL
2-3
HT 0-0
Groningen
HOL
Groningen 2-0 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics
Groningen saw off Willem II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Groningen had 49% of the ball to Willem II's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Groningen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Groningen and 1.00 for Willem II.
What was the final score of Groningen vs Willem II?
Groningen 2-0 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Groningen vs Willem II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Groningen 45%, draw 27%, Willem II 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.