Feyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 30 Nov 2024

Feyenoord
1-1 HT 0-1
Fortuna Sittard
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.1
Over 2.5
64%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.27
No
48%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
35%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14 — our 35% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
31.0
X/1
16%
3.72
X/2
4%
26.0
X/X
7%
8.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
30.0
2/2
6%
22.1
2/X
5%
31.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-7.3pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
44%
-8.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
56%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.5pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.52/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.19
+4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
43.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
23.3 Crosses 12.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.69 xG 0.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
417 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
13.08.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
26.02.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-4 HT 0-3 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
22.10.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
01.05.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-3 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
05.12.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL

Feyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
1-1
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.79 xG 1.25
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
474 Passes 130
87% Pass Accuracy 63%
54 Box Touches 10
36 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord and Fortuna Sittard shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Feyenoord at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Feyenoord had 73% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 27%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.79 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Feyenoord and 0.67 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?

Feyenoord 1-1 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 67%, draw 19%, Fortuna Sittard 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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