Başakşehir FK 0-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
17%
4.29
X/2
6%
8.35
X/X
13%
4.09
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
9%
7.08
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.60/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.71
+26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.2 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.89 xG 0.46
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
348 Passes 145
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
30.11.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
0-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.83 xG 1.39
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
475 Passes 194
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK nicked a narrow win over Başakşehir FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Başakşehir FK carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 66% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 34%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.83 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.50 for Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Bodrum FK?

Başakşehir FK 0-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 55%, draw 24%, Bodrum FK 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Başakşehir FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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