Gaziantep FK 2-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
12%
4.8
X/2
8%
7.52
X/X
9%
4.95
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
14%
5.4
2/X
11%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.39/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.39
-6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.8 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sivasspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.51 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
367 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 3-2 HT 1-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
21.01.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-2 HT 2-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
20.08.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-3 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
22.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
06.08.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
05.02.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 5-1 HT 3-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-1
AWAY Sivasspor
0.82 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
319 Passes 236
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK nicked a narrow win over Sivasspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 55% of the ball to Sivasspor's 45%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.82 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.00 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Sivasspor?

Gaziantep FK 2-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 47%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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