AS Marsa 1-1 Hammam-Lif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
11%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
26%
2.44
No
74%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
11%
Away Win
15%
-4.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.5pp
26%
BTTS Yes
37%
-10.4pp
74%
BTTS No
63%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammam-Lif EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.56/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.82
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Marsa
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Hammam-Lif
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
27.10.2024 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif 0-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN2
20.11.2015 AS Marsa AS Marsa 1-0 HT 1-0 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif TUN1
05.08.2015 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Marsa AS Marsa TNUSK
25.04.2015 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif 2-2 HT 2-1 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN1
29.11.2014 AS Marsa AS Marsa 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Marsa
1-1
AWAY Hammam-Lif
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AS Marsa vs Hammam-Lif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa and Hammam-Lif couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. AS Marsa carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (74%) missed.

On the day, AS Marsa had 57% of the ball to Hammam-Lif's 43%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, AS Marsa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for AS Marsa and 0.40 for Hammam-Lif.

What was the final score of AS Marsa vs Hammam-Lif?

AS Marsa 1-1 Hammam-Lif in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs Hammam-Lif?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 61%, draw 28%, Hammam-Lif 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Marsa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Marsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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