Msaken 1-0 ES Rades — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 15 Feb 2025

Msaken
1-0
ES Rades
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Msaken vs ES Rades Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Msaken v ES Rades — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Msaken EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Rades EU Bookmakers 18%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.14/0.98
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / +32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Msaken vs ES Rades Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Msaken
0W-1D-0L
AWAY ES Rades
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2024 ES Rades ES Rades 0-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2

Msaken 1-0 ES Rades — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Msaken
1-0
AWAY ES Rades
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Msaken vs ES Rades
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken squeezed past ES Rades 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Msaken as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Msaken had 59% of the ball to ES Rades's 41%, shots finished 20-9.

What was the final score of Msaken vs ES Rades?

Msaken 1-0 ES Rades in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Msaken vs ES Rades?

Before kick-off our model rated a Msaken win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Msaken 52%, draw 29%, ES Rades 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Msaken), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Msaken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN2 More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
15 Feb 2025
16:00 AS Marsa vs Hammam-Lif Analysis →
16:00 Kerkennah vs Jerba Analysis →