Kerkennah 1-1 Jerba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.53
No
67%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.2pp
33%
BTTS Yes
36%
-2.9pp
67%
BTTS No
64%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerkennah EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerba EU Bookmakers 20%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.11
-63% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerkennah
1-1
AWAY Jerba
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kerkennah vs Jerba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerkennah and Jerba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kerkennah at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

On the day, Kerkennah had 61% of the ball to Jerba's 39%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Kerkennah vs Jerba?

Kerkennah 1-1 Jerba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerkennah vs Jerba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerkennah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kerkennah 50%, draw 31%, Jerba 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kerkennah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kerkennah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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