URA 1-0 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

URA
1-0 HT 1-0
Maroons
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-4.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME URA EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.92/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.47
-29% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +132%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME URA
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Maroons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Maroons Maroons 2-1 HT 1-0 URA URA UGA
27.10.2023 Maroons Maroons 1-1 URA URA UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME URA
1-0
AWAY Maroons
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH URA vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

URA nicked a narrow win over Maroons 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had URA as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, URA had 44% of the ball to Maroons's 56%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maroons led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for URA and 1.50 for Maroons.

What was the final score of URA vs Maroons?

URA 1-0 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for URA vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split URA 52%, draw 29%, Maroons 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (URA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
15 Feb 2025
16:00 SC Villa vs Express Analysis →