SC Villa 1-0 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 26%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.99/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.87
-23% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Express
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
45% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2024 Express Express 1-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
09.03.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 1-0 Express Express UGA
09.04.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 1-2 Express Express UGA
20.11.2021 Express Express 0-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-0
AWAY Express
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa squeezed past Express 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, SC Villa had 51% of the ball to Express's 49%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Express led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SC Villa and 0.75 for Express.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Express?

SC Villa 1-0 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 46%, draw 32%, Express 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5
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