UCV 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -21%
1.39/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.17
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
22.4 Crosses 22.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
212 Passes 271
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 UCV UCV 3-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.03.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
23.07.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
22.04.2023 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.06.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
05.06.2022 UCV UCV 1-2 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
2-1
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
2.09 xG 1.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 294
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day UCV made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UCV had 51% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 49%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.09 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UCV and 1.67 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of UCV vs Estudiantes De Merida?

UCV 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UCV 39%, draw 28%, Estudiantes De Merida 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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