Sparta Prag 2-0 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
30%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
67%
+3.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
11%
Away Win
13%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.28/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.14
+20% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
24.7 Crosses 11.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.67 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
432 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-1 HT 2-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
09.02.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-0 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
31.08.2024 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
17.03.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
08.10.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-3 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
18.03.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-0
AWAY Hradec Kralove
2.42 xG 0.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
532 Passes 273
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
40 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag got the better of Hradec Kralove 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 62% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 38%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.42 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.67 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Hradec Kralove?

Sparta Prag 2-0 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 70%, draw 19%, Hradec Kralove 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Over 2.5
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