Chacarita Juniors 1-1 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.2pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.18/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.06
+7% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
0W-2D-2L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
372 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-0 HT 3-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
06.04.2024 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
14.08.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
12.05.2018 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-4 HT 1-2 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors and San Martin San Juan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 2.50 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin San Juan?

Chacarita Juniors 1-1 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 37%, draw 34%, San Martin San Juan 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chacarita Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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