San Martin San Juan 4-0 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.5pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.59/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.30
+21% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
227 Passes 372
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
14.08.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
12.05.2018 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-4 HT 1-2 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan cruised past Chacarita Juniors 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Martin San Juan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.00 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Chacarita Juniors?

San Martin San Juan 4-0 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 51%, draw 29%, Chacarita Juniors 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin San Juan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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