Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 15 Feb 2026

Wellington Phoenix (K)
1-2 HT 1-2
Central Coast Mariners (K)
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Central Coast Mariners (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.73/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.33
+30% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.3 Crosses 12.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 233
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
26.01.2025 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.75 xG 0.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
221 Passes 171
66% Pass Accuracy 59%
27 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) squeezed past Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 54% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 46%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.75 to 0.65 — on chances, Wellington Phoenix (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 1.67 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 50%, draw 27%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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