Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Australia - W-League, 15 Feb 2026

Wellington Phoenix (K) LWWWW→
1 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Central Coast Mariners (K) LWDLD→
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 02:51
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
3.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.89
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Central Coast Mariners (K) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) The Market 28%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.98 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.88
1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
Great Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 233
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
26.01.2025 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1 - 2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.75 xG 0.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
221 Passes 171
66% Pass Accuracy 59%
27 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Central Coast Mariners (K) squeezed past Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 on their travels.

Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Wellington Phoenix (K)'s favour, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 1.75 to 0.65 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wellington Phoenix (K).

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Wellington Phoenix (K) against 1.67 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Result & Final Score

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1 - 2 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 51%, draw 27%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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