Sport Boys 1-0 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.74/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.32
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.4 Crosses 15.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.93 xG 1.49
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
175 Passes 339
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2025 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
27.04.2025 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-3 HT 1-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
14.09.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
05.04.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
21.08.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
02.04.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
1-0
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.93 xG 0.48
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
217 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys squeezed past Atletico Grau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sport Boys as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sport Boys had 39% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 61%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.93 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sport Boys and 1.33 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?

Sport Boys 1-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 47%, draw 28%, Atletico Grau 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Boys), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sport Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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