Famalicao U23 4-2 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-10.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.91/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.39
+82% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2025 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 UŞGA
23.09.2025 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
27.11.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-0 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 UŞGA
28.08.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 0-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
25.11.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
4-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 got the better of Sporting Braga U23 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Famalicao U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 53% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 47%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Famalicao U23 and 0.80 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Famalicao U23 4-2 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 34%, draw 31%, Sporting Braga U23 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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