Diriyah 1-3 Al Ula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2026

Diriyah
1-3 HT 0-2
Al Ula
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Diriyah vs Al Ula Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diriyah v Al Ula — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriyah EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ula EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Diriyah vs Al Ula Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriyah
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ula
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
20.10.2025 Al Ula Al Ula 2-1 HT 1-0 Diriyah Diriyah SUUD1
POST-MATCH Diriyah vs Al Ula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ula beat Diriyah 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Diriyah at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Diriyah vs Al Ula?

Diriyah 1-3 Al Ula in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriyah vs Al Ula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Diriyah 48%, draw 21%, Al Ula 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diriyah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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