Abha 2-1 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
69%
-5.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.6pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 16%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.96/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.03
+47% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 2.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
316 Passes 314
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2025 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-3 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD1
14.03.2024 Abha Abha 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
22.09.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 4-0 HT 2-0 Abha Abha SUUD
24.02.2023 Abha Abha 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
08.09.2022 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-0 HT 0-0 Abha Abha SUUD
15.03.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-4 HT 0-2 Abha Abha SUUD
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abha edged past Al Wehda 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Abha as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Abha and 1.67 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Wehda?

Abha 2-1 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abha win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Abha 64%, draw 18%, Al Wehda 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abha), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Abha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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