Dandenong City 1-2 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

Dandenong City
1-2 HT 0-2
Dandenong Thunder
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.1pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dandenong City v Dandenong Thunder — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.34/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.64
+18% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 2.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
196 Passes 352
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.06.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-3 HT 1-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.03.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-2 HT 1-2 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
26.02.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder nicked a narrow win over Dandenong City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Dandenong Thunder made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dandenong Thunder led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dandenong City and 2.00 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder?

Dandenong City 1-2 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 40%, draw 25%, Dandenong Thunder 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dandenong City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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