Gold Coast Knights 2-0 Rochedale Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.25
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
4.0
Over 2.5
67%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
76%
-15.1pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.0pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.2pp
33%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.09/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.01
+21% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.9 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rochedale Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
20.05.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 2-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Rochedale Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights saw off Rochedale Rovers 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.00 for Rochedale Rovers.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Rochedale Rovers?

Gold Coast Knights 2-0 Rochedale Rovers in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Rochedale Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 61%, draw 20%, Rochedale Rovers 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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