Sydney II 2-5 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒11:36 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.5pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 40%
+31% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.52/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.82
+60% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses 15.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
296 Passes 261
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-1 HT 1-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
21.04.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 0-1 HT 0-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
02.08.2020 Sydney II Sydney II 3-2 HT 3-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney II vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney W. II swept aside Sydney II 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Western Sydney W. II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sydney II and 1.67 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of Sydney II vs Western Sydney W. II?

Sydney II 2-5 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney II vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sydney II 44%, draw 24%, Western Sydney W. II 32%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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